IMPACT OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE SPREAD OF EPIDEMICS

The existing connection of distribution of epidemics with global climate changes is opened. It is shown that in the next decades, owing to the happening significant geoecological changes (including, warming of global climate) observed practically on all Earth there will be a complication of an epidemiological situation on the majority of territories. It was established that between malaria, the obvious positive correlation exists cholera and meningitis and climatic parameters. Besides, the cases of malaria connected with temperature increase of the environment were accurately interconnected. The mechanism of impact of global warming of climate on growth of infectious diseases of people is explained. Influence global temperature changes of the environment and also growth of an amount of precipitation and humidity, on distribution of the insects and animals who are carriers of viral infections on northern territories is described. observed global temperature increase will significantly increase "a seasonal window" of Europe for potential spread of the viral diseases transferred by mosquitoes and other insects and also will broaden the geographical areas subject to risk of emergence of epidemic of tenge (a viral disease, causing hemorrhagic fever), and will include a considerable part of Europe in an epidemiological situation.

1. Vorob'ev A.E., Puchkov L.A. Chelovek i biosfera: global'noe izmenenie klimata. Ch. I. – M.: Izd-vo RUDN, 2006. – 442 s.

2. Vorob'ev A.E., Puchkov L.A. Chelovek i biosfera: global'noe izmenenie klimata. Ch. II. – M.: Izd-vo RUDN, 2006. – 468 s.

3. Vorob'ev A.E., Chekushina E.V., Trusenko S.S. Osnovnye puti stabilizacii klimata na planete // Gornyj informacionno-analiticheskij bjulleten', № 2, 2001. – S. 171-175.

4. Vorob'ev A.E., Chekushina T.V. Global'nye klimaticheskie izmenenija i upravlenie imi // IV Mezhdunarodnaja konferencija «Uchastie molodyh uchenyh, inzhenerov i pedagogov v razrabotke i realizacii innovacionnyh tehnologij. – M.: MGIU, 2003. – S. 471-476.

5. Vorob'ev A.E., Chekushina T.V. Problema global'nogo izmenenija klimata i puti ee reshenija // Tezisy dokladov II Mezhdunarodnogo koordinacionnogo soveshhanija “Kislorod i okruzhajushhaja sreda”, Tallin: WOF, 2003. – S. 7.

6. Vorob'ev A.E., Chekushina T.V. Puti reshenija global'nogo izmenenija klimata // Tezisy dokladov Tret'ej Tuapsinskoj mezhdunarodnoj nauchnoj konferencii «Vulkanizm, biosfera i jekologicheskie problemy». – Tuapse, 2003. – S. 89-91.

7. Kak izmenenie klimata mozhet povlijat' na rasprostranenie virusov? //

8. https://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/how-might-global-warming-influence-the-spread-of-viruses.

9. Morand S., Owers, K., Waret-Szkuta A. et al. Climate variability and outbreaks of infectious diseases in Europe. Sci Rep 3, 2013. R. 1774.

10. Novosel'cev V.N., Mihal'skij A.I., Novosel'ceva Zh.A. Uchet starenija perenoschikov pri modelirovanii jepidemij // Trudy Pervoj mezhdunarodnoj konferencii "Upravlenie razvitiem krupnomasshtabnyh sistem MLSD '2007". M., IPU. 2007. S. 145-152.

11. Rasha A. Aal, Ayman A. Elshayeb. The Effects of Climate Changes on The Distribution and Spread of Malaria in Sudan // American Journal of Environmental Engineering. N 1(1). 2011. Pp. 15-20.

12. Sadie J. Ryan, Colin J. Carlson, Erin A. Mordecai, Leah R. Johnson. Global expansion and redistribution of Aedes-borne virus transmission risk with climate change // https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0007213.

13. Vorob'ev A.E., Abdinov R.Sh., Prirodnye i tehnogennye osobennosti zagrjaznenijaprirodnyh vod mysh'jakom. Vestnik AU, №3(58)2020, -S.139-147.